Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics v Los Angeles Sparks

Início: 2026-08-15 23:33 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 80–70 Los Angeles Sparks

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Previsão 71.71%1.39odd justa
EV +1.10%
Vantagem +0.784%
Kelly +2.70%
Crescimento +0.030%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.63%71.69%71.73%73.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.341.4176.92%74.77%74.63%70.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Previsão 28.29%3.53odd justa
EV +1.86%
Vantagem +0.517%
Kelly +0.715%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.68%28.31%28.27%32.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.293.303.6035.71%30.44%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Mystics (Local): 71.71%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 28.29%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.86%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +1.10%E +0.784%K +2.70%G +0.030%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -16.53%E -5.60%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 23:30
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -1.05%E -0.758%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -11.44%E -3.65%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 23:14
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.50%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.50%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 23:30
betano_uk🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.970%E -0.277%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.970%E -0.277%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 23:24
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:19
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 23:29
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 23:30
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 23:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -20.78%E -7.42%K -11.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 23:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:19
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:29
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 23:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -16.53%E -5.60%K -8.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 23:29
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.445%E +0.125%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.9%2026-08-15 23:23
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 23:29
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 23:20
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 23:25
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.07%E -4.63%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.86%E +0.517%K +0.715%G +0.013%4.1%2026-08-15 23:23
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.07%E -4.63%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 23:19
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-08-15 23:30
Novig◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-15 23:30
ProphetX◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-08-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-15 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-15 23:30
Polymarket◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-15 23:30
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-15 23:30