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Washington Mystics v Los Angeles Sparks
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Mystics (Local)
Predicción 71.71%1.39momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.784%
Kelly +2.70%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.63%71.69%71.73%73.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.341.4176.92%74.77%74.63%70.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)
Predicción 28.29%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.86%
Ventaja +0.517%
Kelly +0.715%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%28.31%28.27%32.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.293.303.6035.71%30.44%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Washington Mystics (Local): 71.71%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante): 28.29%. Para Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.53. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +1.10%E +0.784%K +2.70%G +0.030% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -16.53%E -5.60%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -1.05%E -0.758%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -11.44%E -3.65%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.48%E -1.82%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.45%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.50%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.20%E -2.37%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.50%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.970%E -0.277%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.970%E -0.277%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 23:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.21%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -6.06%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 23:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -3.91%E -2.92%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -20.78%E -7.42%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -4.63%E -3.48%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -16.53%E -5.60%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +0.445%E +0.125%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 23:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 23:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.63%E -2.01%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.35%E -4.05%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.04%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.07%E -4.63%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.86%E +0.517%K +0.715%G +0.013% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.07%E -4.63%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -2.38%E -0.691%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.80%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.78%E -5.22%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.46%E -2.96%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 23:30 |