The School of Odds

Washington Mystics v Las Vegas Aces

2026-07-22 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 33.59%2.98fair odd
EV +0.096%
Edge +0.032%
Kelly +0.048%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%33.56%33.57%35.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.852.852.9838%35%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Prediction 66.41%1.51fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -8.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.68%66.44%66.43%67.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.421.4574%70%70%69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +0.096%E +0.032%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 02:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 13:45
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.02%E -5.02%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:45
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.912%E -0.309%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.02%E -5.02%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 13:45
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.59%E -0.894%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.70%E -2.55%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-20 20:45
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.70%E -2.55%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 19:05
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.70%E -2.55%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 19:05
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 02:30
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 15:24
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 02:40
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 04:00
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 11:05
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 11:10
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-20 19:04
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.03%E -3.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 13:40
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.27%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.03%E -3.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 13:40
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.61%E -1.62%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.03%E -3.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 15:25
MyBookie.ag2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.94%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.03%E -3.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:40
SportsBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 15:25
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.95%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.03%E -3.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:35
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.95%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 02:35
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.95%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 02:35
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -5.95%E -2.13%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -10.35%E -7.66%K -29.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-20 13:45
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -6.96%E -2.51%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.03%E -3.52%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:39
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.63%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 13:34
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.63%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 13:34
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.63%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 13:35
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.63%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 15:25
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.63%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.02%E -5.02%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 02:30
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.63%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.02%E -5.02%K -17.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 23:34
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.67%E -4.87%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.70%E -4.01%K -13.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%1.0%2026-07-20 20:15
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%2.0%2026-07-20 08:30
Novig3.03I 33.00%NM 31.29%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.71%5.5%2026-07-20 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.22%6.7%2026-07-20 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.22%6.7%2026-07-20 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.22%6.7%2026-07-20 12:50