The School of Odds

Washington Mystics v Golden State Valkyries

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 23:40 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 49–62 Golden State Valkyries

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 28.99%3.45fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.584%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%29.19%28.83%31.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.5033%31%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 71.01%1.41fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%70.81%71.17%72.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.341.3878%75%75%72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.46%E +0.417%K +0.584%G +0.009%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-06 23:19
LowVig.ag3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -1.15%E -0.337%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 23:30
BetOnline.ag3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -1.15%E -0.337%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 23:30
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 23:05
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 23:15
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 23:10
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 22:34
1xBet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -2.60%E -0.773%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 23:10
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 23:29
GTbets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 23:09
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 23:09
FanDuel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 23:15
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.89%E -0.862%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.27%E -4.75%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 23:30
Pinnacle3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.18%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-06 23:25
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.13%E -3.06%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-06 22:35
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:25
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.34%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 23:24
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 23:14
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.79%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.56%E -4.18%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 23:24
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 23:25
MyBookie.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.42%E -2.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 23:24
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 23:12
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.24%E -2.26%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.69%E -5.91%K -25.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 23:10
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.00%E -1.45%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-06 23:30
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 23:25
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.84%E -3.62%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 23:24
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.69%E -5.91%K -25.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-06 23:30
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.69%E -2.76%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.11%E -7.11%K -32.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-06 23:24
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.71%E -1.98%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:29
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.42%E -2.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 22:39
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.42%E -2.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 22:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.42%E -2.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 22:39
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.42%E -2.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 23:30
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.42%E -2.52%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-07-06 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-07-06 23:30
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-07-06 23:30
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-07-06 22:35
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-07-06 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-07-06 23:30
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%1.5%2026-07-06 23:30
ProphetX3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-07-06 23:30