Washington Mystics v Golden State Valkyries

2026-07-06 23:40 — WNBA

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis)

Option 1: Washington Mystics (Local)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.3342.90%Mean

2.3442.64%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.00%2.500Min

41.64%2.401Max

40.51%2.468Mean

40.57%2.465Median

40.52%2.468IQM

40.48%2.470Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.52%

EV -2.76%Edge -1.15%Kelly -1.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Odds

1.5763.69%Min

1.6062.65%Mean

1.6062.50%Median

1.6261.73%Max

Consensus probabilities

58.36%1.714Min

60.00%1.667Max

59.49%1.681Mean

59.43%1.683Median

59.48%1.681IQM

59.52%1.680Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 59.48%

EV -3.63%Edge -2.24%Kelly -5.86%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Washington Mystics (Local) ▼	Golden State Valkyries (Visit)	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -2.76% E -1.15% K -1.97% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-04 22:24
Caesars	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -2.76% E -1.15% K -1.97% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-04 22:25
GTbets	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -2.76% E -1.15% K -1.97% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-04 22:30
DraftKings	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -2.76% E -1.15% K -1.97% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -4.82% E -3.02% K -8.04% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-04 22:25
MyBookie.ag	2.36I 42.37% NM 40.40%EV -4.38% E -1.86% K -3.22% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.60%EV -4.82% E -3.02% K -8.04% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-04 23:58
FanDuel	2.36I 42.37% NM 40.40%EV -4.38% E -1.86% K -3.22% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.60%EV -4.82% E -3.02% K -8.04% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-05 13:40
1xBet	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -4.79% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -3.63% E -2.24% K -5.86% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-04 22:35
Hard Rock Bet	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -4.79% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -3.63% E -2.24% K -5.86% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-05 06:39
Fanatics	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -4.79% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-05 05:35
Betway	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -4.79% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-05 03:30
Unibet (UK)	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -4.79% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -4.82% E -3.02% K -8.04% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-04 23:54
Betr (AU)	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -4.79% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -5.42% E -3.41% K -9.19% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-04 22:40
TAB	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -4.79% E -2.04% K -3.55% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -6.01% E -3.81% K -10.37% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-05 13:45
Bet Right	2.34I 42.74% NM 40.61%EV -5.19% E -2.22% K -3.88% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.39%EV -4.82% E -3.02% K -8.04% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-04 22:40
Coolbet	2.32I 43.10% NM 40.66%EV -6.00% E -2.59% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.34%EV -5.42% E -3.41% K -9.19% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 06:50
SportsBet	2.32I 43.10% NM 40.66%EV -6.00% E -2.59% K -4.55% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.34%EV -5.42% E -3.41% K -9.19% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 13:39
888sport	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.81% E -2.96% K -5.24% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-05 06:40
Mr Green (SE)	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.81% E -2.96% K -5.24% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-05 06:40
888sport (SE)	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.81% E -2.96% K -5.24% G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.23% E -2.63% K -6.93% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-05 06:40
NordicBet	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -6.81% E -2.96% K -5.24% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -6.01% E -3.81% K -10.37% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 00:00
Betsson	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -6.81% E -2.96% K -5.24% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -6.01% E -3.81% K -10.37% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 00:00
ReBet	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.81% E -2.96% K -5.24% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -6.61% E -4.21% K -11.59% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-05 06:39
BoyleSports	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.81% E -2.96% K -5.24% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -6.61% E -4.21% K -11.59% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-04 23:35
Paddy Power	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.84% E -3.93% K -7.07% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.61% E -4.21% K -11.59% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-04 23:49
LeoVegas	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.64%EV -10.87% E -4.94% K -9.06% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.36%EV -6.61% E -4.21% K -11.59% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-04 22:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

Bookmaker	Washington Mystics (Local)	Golden State Valkyries (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.63I 38.02%	1.59I 62.89%	0.9%	2026-07-05 10:35
Kalshi	2.70I 37.04%	1.56I 64.10%	1.1%	2026-07-05 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.62I 38.17%	1.54I 64.94%	3.1%	2026-07-05 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.62I 38.17%	1.54I 64.94%	3.1%	2026-07-05 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.62I 38.17%	1.54I 64.94%	3.1%	2026-07-05 13:15
Novig	2.38I 42.02%	1.55I 64.52%	6.5%	2026-07-05 14:15