Language:English
Washington Mystics v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Mystics (Local)
Prediction 41.75%2.40fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.929%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%41.73%41.82%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4546.51%43.57%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 58.25%1.72fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.27%58.18%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.621.621.6767.11%61.68%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 41.75%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 58.25%. For Washington Mystics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +2.28%E +0.929%K +1.57%G +0.036% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -10.87%E -7.10%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.04%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.04%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -0.646%E -0.271%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.48%E -0.628%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.48%E -0.628%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 22:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 22:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 22:47 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -1.90%E -0.808%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-30 22:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-30 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 22:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.99%E -1.73%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.82%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.04%E -3.10%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.24%E -2.31%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.21%E -3.86%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.47%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.07%E -2.70%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.54%E -5.44%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-30 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 12:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 12:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.71%E -1.63%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -8.16%E -3.71%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -13.20%E -8.86%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-30 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.00%E -4.13%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -9.00%E -4.13%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -3.88%E -2.35%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -9.00%E -4.13%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.25%E -4.77%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-30 22:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.25%E -4.77%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.79%E -4.25%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-30 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-30 21:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-09-30 23:00 |