Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics v Atlanta Dream

2026-08-07 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 40.46%2.47fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.20%40.39%40.54%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4245.45%42.69%42.55%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 59.54%1.68fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -5.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.36%59.61%59.46%60.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.581.6264.10%62.97%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Mystics (Local): 40.46%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 59.54%. For Washington Mystics (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.42, with an expected value of -2.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.10%E -0.867%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 05:25
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 04:55
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 06:09
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 07:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.32%E -3.35%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 05:24
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.91%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 04:55
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.72%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 05:49
Coolbet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.72%E -1.56%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.11%E -4.56%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 05:25
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.52%E -1.92%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.54%E -2.18%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 07:55
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-06 06:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.93%E -2.10%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.73%E -2.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 04:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.13%E -2.57%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-06 04:49
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 04:54
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.92%E -3.75%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 04:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 04:55
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.95%E -3.02%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-06 04:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.97%E -3.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 05:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.00%E -5.00%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.52%E -4.15%K -11.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-06 04:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-08-06 07:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%3.1%2026-08-06 07:55