Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics v Atlanta Dream

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 23:35 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 79–74 Atlanta Dream

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 34.68%2.88fair odd
EV +0.571%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.301%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%35.17%34.54%38.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.732.752.9040.82%36.68%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 65.32%1.53fair odd
EV +0.593%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.00%64.83%65.46%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.451.5472.46%68.44%68.97%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 34.68%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 65.32%. For Atlanta Dream (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.593%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -11.91%E -4.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV +0.593%E +0.385%K +1.10%G +0.007%4.3%2026-08-07 23:25
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -10.53%E -4.08%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -0.060%E -0.039%K -0.113%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:27
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -12.61%E -5.00%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -0.060%E -0.039%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -13.99%E -5.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -0.713%E -0.469%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 23:20
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.37%E -0.905%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 23:29
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.37%E -0.905%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 23:25
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -1.37%E -0.905%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.30%E -5.32%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-07 23:25
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:30
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:29
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +0.571%E +0.197%K +0.301%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 23:15
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV +0.571%E +0.197%K +0.301%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 23:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 22:35
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 22:10
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 22:10
ReBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 23:25
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.67%E -2.08%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.16%E -0.408%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 23:30
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 23:25
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 22:44
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -15.03%E -6.14%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -5.29%E -3.65%K -11.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 23:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:24
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:25
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 15:04
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 22:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 23:30
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.36%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 23:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -0.469%E -0.163%K -0.251%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -9.86%E -7.14%K -25.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-07 23:30
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-08-07 23:30
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-07 23:30
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-08-07 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-08-07 23:25
ProphetX2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-08-07 23:30
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-08-07 23:20