Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo v Washington Mystics

Kickoff: 2026-07-14 23:10 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 62–79 Washington Mystics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 46.88%2.13fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.85%46.77%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.022.1051.81%49.35%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 53.12%1.88fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%53.15%53.23%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.77%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 46.88%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 53.12%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.56%E -0.743%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 22:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.56%E -0.743%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 22:39
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.56%E -0.743%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 22:40
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.44%E -1.67%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-14 22:35
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.72%E -0.930%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-14 22:48
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.72%E -0.930%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-14 22:48
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 21:44
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 22:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 23:00
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 21:40
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 22:05
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 20:09
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 22:29
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 22:49
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 22:54
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 22:19
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 22:19
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.84%E -2.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.91%E -2.74%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 22:55
MyBookie.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.84%E -2.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.91%E -2.74%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 22:59
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:49
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:49
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:49
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:50
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:50
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:50
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.85%E -2.12%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 22:49
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 22:49
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 22:59
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.31%E -2.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 22:59
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.78%E -1.52%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 22:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 22:55
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 23:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 23:00
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.38%E -2.43%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 23:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 22:55
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 23:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.09%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-14 22:49
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.19%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.78%E -1.52%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 22:59
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.65%E -3.89%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.78%E -1.52%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-14 23:00
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -8.59%E -4.41%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-14 22:59
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.53%E -4.94%K -10.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-14 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-07-14 23:00
ProphetX2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-07-14 23:00
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%0.9%2026-07-14 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-14 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-14 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-14 23:00
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-14 22:05