The School of Odds
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Toronto Tempo v Washington Mystics

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:38 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 65–68 Washington Mystics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 51.31%1.95fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.93%51.60%51.28%54.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.811.831.9061.35%55.14%54.50%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 48.69%2.05fair odd
EV +3.23%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.88%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.08%48.40%48.72%49.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.011.972.1252.36%49.87%50.76%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 51.31%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 48.69%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +3.23%E +1.52%K +2.88%G +0.093%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -10.72%E -6.16%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +2.25%E +1.07%K +2.05%G +0.046%5.1%2026-05-08 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.64%E -0.813%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.51%E -1.32%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 23:19
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:28
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.54%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.59%E -1.81%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.08%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.08%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:28
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.08%E -2.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.62%E -3.64%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.56%E -2.33%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:14
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:29
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:29
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:08
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:14
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 19:15
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.17%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 23:09
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.11%E -3.34%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 23:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -16.37%E -10.04%K -25.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -5.05%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-08 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.57%E -2.46%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.54%E -2.85%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 23:29
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:29
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.08%E -2.75%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.51%E -3.39%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.65%E -4.25%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.00%E -3.66%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-05-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-05-08 23:29
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%2.5%2026-05-08 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%4.2%2026-05-08 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%4.5%2026-05-08 23:29