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Toronto Tempo v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Tempo (Local)
Prediction 11.50%8.69fair odd
EV +3.52%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.440%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%11.62%11.37%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.178.509.0015.38%12.23%11.76%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 88.50%1.13fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -26.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%88.38%88.63%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.081.071.1097.09%92.99%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 11.50%; New York Liberty (Visit): 88.50%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.69. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +3.52%E +0.391%K +0.440%G +0.015% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +0.643%E +0.074%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +0.643%E +0.074%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +0.643%E +0.074%K +0.083%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.73I 11.45%NM 11.10%EV +0.413%E +0.047%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.90%EV -3.54%E -3.25%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.54%E -3.25%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 16:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 18:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.19%E -5.84%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.19%E -5.84%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.19%E -5.84%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.19%E -5.84%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -2.23%E -0.263%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.19%E -5.84%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -4.53%E -0.546%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 18:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV -5.68%E -0.693%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -2.65%E -2.41%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 18:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -6.83%E -0.844%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -6.95%E -0.859%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.54%E -3.25%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -6.95%E -0.859%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -3.54%E -3.25%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.65%E -2.41%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 18:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -2.65%E -2.41%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.54%E -3.25%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 18:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 15:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 15:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -7.98%E -0.998%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -8.85%E -8.59%K -294.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.31%E -4.96%K -75.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.54%E -3.25%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -19.49%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -6.19%E -5.84%K -103.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -22.36%E -3.31%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -3.54%E -3.25%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -25.24%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 18:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 19:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 19:00 |