Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo v Minnesota Lynx

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 00:05 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 72–104 Minnesota Lynx

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 15.10%6.62fair odd
EV +5.72%
Edge +0.817%
Kelly +0.954%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%15.20%14.70%17.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.016.007.0019.61%16.65%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

Prediction 84.90%1.18fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -15.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.13%84.80%85.30%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.65%88.89%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 15.10%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 84.90%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.62. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +5.72%E +0.817%K +0.954%G +0.055%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-30 23:49
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +5.72%E +0.817%K +0.954%G +0.055%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-30 23:48
theScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +5.72%E +0.817%K +0.954%G +0.055%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +1.95%E +0.288%K +0.338%G +0.007%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 00:00
Fliff🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV +0.435%E +0.065%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 00:05
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 21:40
Caesars🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 20:24
BetMGM🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 22:35
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:59
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.83%E -0.282%K -0.333%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.61%E -0.897%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 00:04
GTbets🎯6.22I 16.08%NM 15.14%EV -6.06%E -0.974%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -6.36%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.22%E -2.82%K -22.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -6.36%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -3.22%E -2.82%K -22.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 18:35
BetAnything🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -6.36%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 20:09
Neds🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -6.36%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -6.36%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 22:35
DraftKings🎯6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV -6.51%E -1.05%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 21:35
BetUS🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -8.63%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.22%E -2.82%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 18:30
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 18:09
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 13:24
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.38%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:54
ReBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -10.89%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -3.22%E -2.82%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 18:04
MyBookie.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -10.89%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -3.22%E -2.82%K -22.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:55
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -10.89%E -1.85%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:40
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.16%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.07%E -3.60%K -31.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 23:39
NordicBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 16:59
Betsson🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -13.16%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 16:59
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -15.42%E -2.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -6.61%E -6.01%K -66.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 00:05
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:20
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:20
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:19
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:20
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.37%E -2.06%K -15.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:20
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.22%E -2.82%K -22.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 14:35
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 17:10
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -16.93%E -3.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.92%E -4.39%K -40.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 23:40
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -22.97%E -4.50%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -5.76%E -5.19%K -52.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-07-31 00:04
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-07-30 17:40
Polymarket6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-07-30 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%1.4%2026-07-31 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%1.8%2026-07-31 00:00
Novig6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%2.2%2026-07-31 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-07-31 00:05
ProphetX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%4.9%2026-07-31 00:05

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.