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Toronto Tempo v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Tempo (Local)
Prediction 18.52%5.40fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +0.667%
Kelly +0.812%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 5.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%18.50%18.37%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.045.005.6022.22%19.86%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 81.48%1.23fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -16.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%81.50%81.63%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.1987.72%85.28%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 18.52%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 81.48%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +3.73%E +0.667%K +0.812%G +0.030% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-20 23:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +3.73%E +0.667%K +0.812%G +0.030% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-20 23:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.88%E +0.342%K +0.418%G +0.008% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.12%E -6.24%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.029%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV +0.029%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-20 22:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -0.897%E -0.168%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -1.08%E -0.203%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.97%EV -1.08%E -0.203%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.03%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.18%EV -1.64%E -0.308%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.82%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-21 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -1.82%E -0.344%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.75%E -0.524%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.75%E -0.524%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.75%E -0.524%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -2.75%E -0.524%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-20 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.75%E -0.524%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.30%E -5.48%K -42.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.68%E -0.707%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -3.68%E -0.707%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 22:12 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-20 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-20 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-20 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-20 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-20 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-20 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.38%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-20 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-20 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.23%E -1.88%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.49%E -4.73%K -34.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-20 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.04%E -2.56%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.09%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-20 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -13.86%E -2.98%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -7.12%E -6.24%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -14.79%E -3.22%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.86%E -3.27%K -21.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-20 20:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -14.79%E -3.22%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -7.12%E -6.24%K -50.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-20 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.64%E -3.70%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.67%E -3.99%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-20 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-07-21 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 2.2% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 2.2% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 2.2% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07% | 3.3% | 2026-07-21 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22% | 9.7% | 2026-07-21 00:10 |