The School of Odds

Toronto Tempo v Las Vegas Aces

2026-07-21 00:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 21.14%4.73fair odd
EV -0.640%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.173%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.07%21.30%21.05%22.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.454.504.7025%22%22%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Prediction 78.86%1.27fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -17.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.22%78.70%78.95%79.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2285%83%83%82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -0.640%E -0.136%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 04:25
Fanatics4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.75%E -0.599%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 04:15
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.75%E -0.599%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 04:05
Caesars4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.75%E -0.599%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 03:49
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.75%E -0.599%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 04:25
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.75%E -0.599%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 04:05
GTbets4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -3.81%E -0.838%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -3.79%E -3.11%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 03:49
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.87%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 03:49
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.87%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 00:05
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.87%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 19:45
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.87%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 19:45
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.87%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 19:45
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.87%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.73%E -6.61%K -45.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 19:35
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.98%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 01:04
MyBookie.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.98%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.58%E -3.79%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 01:09
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.98%E -1.59%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 22:04
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.10%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 22:05
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.10%E -2.12%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 00:45
ReBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.21%E -2.67%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 01:05
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.32%E -3.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.37%E -4.47%K -26.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 01:05
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -15.44%E -3.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%2.0%2026-07-19 05:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-19 05:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-19 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-19 05:30