Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo v Indiana Fever

Kickoff: 2026-08-18 23:04 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 95–101 Indiana Fever

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 19.13%5.23fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.609%
Kelly +0.748%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.56%19.30%19.03%22.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.794.905.4024.39%20.86%20.41%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 80.87%1.24fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.80%80.70%80.97%82.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.181.2286.96%84.23%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 19.13%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 80.87%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV +3.29%E +0.609%K +0.748%G +0.025%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -7.00%E -6.08%K -46.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:40
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +0.420%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 22:49
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV +0.420%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 22:49
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.420%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 22:39
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.420%E +0.080%K +0.099%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.00%E -6.08%K -46.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.536%E -0.103%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-18 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.49%E -0.290%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.49%E -0.290%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 23:00
BetUS🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -1.49%E -0.290%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 23:00
Pinnacle🎯5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -2.64%E -0.519%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 22:55
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:04
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:04
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:59
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 23:00
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 23:00
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:58
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.36%E -0.872%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 23:00
Fanatics🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 21:59
DraftKings🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 23:00
GTbets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 23:00
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:40
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 16:44
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 23:00
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.27%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -8.19%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 21:29
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-18 12:04
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.14%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:05
Coolbet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.01%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 12:05
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.93%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-18 12:05
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.93%E -3.09%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-18 23:00
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -15.84%E -3.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 08:24
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -16.79%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -1.34%E -1.09%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -21.58%E -5.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-08-18 22:55
Novig5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%0.8%2026-08-18 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-08-18 23:00
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-08-18 23:00
Polymarket5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-08-18 23:00
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-08-18 10:45
ProphetX5.55I 18.02%NM 17.66%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.34%2.1%2026-08-18 23:00