The School of Odds

Toronto Tempo v Golden State Valkyries

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 23:02 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 75–83 Golden State Valkyries

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.432%
Kelly +0.583%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%26.21%26.38%28.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.613.603.8731.25%27.73%27.78%25.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 73.73%1.36fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -8.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.79%73.62%75.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3280.65%77.55%77.52%75.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV +1.67%E +0.432%K +0.583%G +0.010%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.15%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 23:00
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.403%G +0.005%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.403%G +0.005%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.37%E -5.01%K -23.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.403%G +0.005%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.58%E -6.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 23:00
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.166%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 22:59
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.166%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 22:59
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.166%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-08 22:58
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.48%E -0.394%K -0.538%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-08 23:00
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 23:00
GTbets3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:59
Caesars3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:53
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:59
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-08 22:59
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -2.68%E -2.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-08 22:58
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:59
Bally Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 23:00
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:00
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:00
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 23:00
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 22:59
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 23:00
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 22:50
ReBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Betr (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -6.73%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -7.84%E -6.27%K -31.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 22:59
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.42%E -2.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-08 22:59
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 22:59
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 22:59
MyBookie.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 22:59
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.15%E -3.20%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 22:59
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:59
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:58
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 23:00
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 22:59
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -8.58%E -6.92%K -35.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-08 22:59
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.89%E -3.79%K -16.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-08 23:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -15.93%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -5.63%E -4.40%K -20.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%0.2%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-07-08 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-07-08 23:00
Matchbook3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-07-08 23:00
Polymarket3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-07-08 23:00
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-07-08 23:00
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-07-08 23:00