The School of Odds

Toronto Tempo v Dallas Wings

2026-07-10 23:40 — WNBA

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%30.14%30.01%32.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.123.25MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
29.50%3.390Min
32.08%3.118Max
30.14%3.318Mean
30.01%3.332Median
30.07%3.326IQM
30.11%3.321Margin-weighted

Dallas Wings (Visit)

Prediction 69.93%1.43fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -7.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.92%69.86%69.99%70.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.39MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
67.92%1.472Min
70.50%1.418Max
69.86%1.431Mean
69.99%1.429Median
69.93%1.430IQM
69.89%1.431Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerToronto Tempo (Local) ▼Dallas Wings (Visit)MarginUpdated
Betway3.25I 30.77% NM 29.96%EV -2.28% E -0.702% K -1.01% G +0.000%1.39I 71.94% NM 70.04%EV -2.79% E -2.01% K -7.16% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-09 02:34
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV -2.28% E -0.702% K -1.01% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-09 06:20
DraftKings3.20I 31.25% NM 29.98%EV -3.79% E -1.18% K -1.72% G +0.000%1.37I 72.99% NM 70.02%EV -4.19% E -3.06% K -11.33% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 01:50
Fanatics3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -3.79% E -1.18% K -1.72% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 06:40
MyBookie.ag3.18I 31.45% NM 29.96%EV -4.39% E -1.38% K -2.01% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 70.04%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 06:23
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75% NM 30.31%EV -5.29% E -1.68% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.37I 72.99% NM 69.69%EV -4.19% E -3.06% K -11.33% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 01:50
Bet Right3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -5.29% E -1.68% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 01:55
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -5.29% E -1.68% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 01:54
NordicBet3.15I 31.75% NM 30.00%EV -5.29% E -1.68% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.35I 74.07% NM 70.00%EV -5.59% E -4.14% K -15.97% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 06:20
Betsson3.15I 31.75% NM 30.00%EV -5.29% E -1.68% K -2.46% G +0.000%1.35I 74.07% NM 70.00%EV -5.59% E -4.14% K -15.97% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 06:20
Coolbet3.13I 31.95% NM 30.13%EV -5.89% E -1.88% K -2.77% G +0.000%1.35I 74.07% NM 69.87%EV -5.59% E -4.14% K -15.97% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 02:05
888sport3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -6.79% E -2.19% K -3.23% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 01:50
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -6.79% E -2.19% K -3.23% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 01:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -6.79% E -2.19% K -3.23% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-09 01:50
Fliff3.10I 32.26% NM 30.34%EV -6.79% E -2.19% K -3.23% G +0.000%1.35I 74.07% NM 69.66%EV -5.59% E -4.14% K -15.97% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 05:04
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26% NM 30.02%EV -6.79% E -2.19% K -3.23% G +0.000%1.33I 75.19% NM 69.98%EV -6.99% E -5.25% K -21.18% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-09 06:19
ReBet3.06I 32.68% NM 30.45%EV -8.00% E -2.61% K -3.88% G +0.000%1.34I 74.63% NM 69.55%EV -6.29% E -4.69% K -18.50% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-09 06:19
FanDuel3.05I 32.79% NM 31.15%EV -8.30% E -2.72% K -4.05% G +0.000%1.38I 72.46% NM 68.85%EV -3.49% E -2.53% K -9.19% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 01:50
SportsBet3.04I 32.89% NM 31.07%EV -8.60% E -2.83% K -4.21% G +0.000%1.37I 72.99% NM 68.93%EV -4.19% E -3.06% K -11.33% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 06:40
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -9.80% E -3.27% K -4.90% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-09 02:44
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90% NM 31.07%EV -11.30% E -3.83% K -5.80% G +0.000%1.33I 75.19% NM 68.93%EV -6.99% E -5.25% K -21.18% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-09 06:20
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72% NM 32.08%EV -13.41% E -4.66% K -7.13% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 67.92%EV -4.89% E -3.60% K -13.59% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-09 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerToronto Tempo (Local)Dallas Wings (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Polymarket3.33I 30.03% NM 29.45%1.39I 71.94% NM 70.55%2.0%2026-07-09 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72% NM 31.75%1.34I 74.63% NM 68.25%9.3%2026-07-09 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72% NM 31.75%1.34I 74.63% NM 68.25%9.3%2026-07-09 07:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72% NM 31.75%1.34I 74.63% NM 68.25%9.3%2026-07-09 07:30