Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.90
assuming max odds 1.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 21.78%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 78.22%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.70%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +6.70%E +1.37%K +1.72%G +0.115% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.70%E -6.52%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| betano_uk | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.44%E +0.724%K +0.916%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Bet Victor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.44%E +0.724%K +0.916%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 23:18 |
| Bovada | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.44%E +0.724%K +0.916%G +0.031% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.91%E -5.81%K -36.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 23:24 |
| Pinnacle | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.51%EV +2.13%E +0.454%K +0.577%G +0.012% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.49%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-17 23:20 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.01%E -0.446%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| DraftKings | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.78%E -3.08%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Bally Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| betPARX | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| BetUS | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.18%E -0.951%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.13%E -5.11%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Caesars | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.78%E -3.08%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 23:05 |
| GTbets | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.78%E -3.08%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.00%E -2.42%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.00%E -2.42%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.13%E -5.11%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.13%E -5.11%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| BetMGM | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.00%E -2.42%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-17 14:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.00%E -2.42%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.00%E -2.42%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.74%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.26%E -7.98%K -57.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.90%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 14:24 |
| Neds | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.90%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 14:24 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.90%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.13%E -5.11%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -6.13%E -5.11%K -30.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-17 23:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Polymarket | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| ProphetX | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 1.1% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |
| Novig | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-07-17 23:25 |