Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm v New York Liberty

Kickoff: 2026-06-26 02:10 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 99–88 New York Liberty

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV +14.67%
Edge +3.06%
Kelly +3.86%
Growth +0.567%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.27%23.55%23.97%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.074.004.8028.57%24.57%25.00%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 76.11%1.31fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.47%76.45%76.03%79.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.241.251.3085.47%80.39%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 23.89%; New York Liberty (Visit): 76.11%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +14.67%E +3.06%K +3.86%G +0.567%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-26 01:58
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +9.90%E +2.15%K +2.75%G +0.272%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 02:00
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.51%E +1.67%K +2.15%G +0.161%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.51%E +1.67%K +2.15%G +0.161%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.51%E +1.67%K +2.15%G +0.161%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 02:00
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.51%E +1.67%K +2.15%G +0.161%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.67%E -7.22%K -43.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 02:00
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 01:59
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 02:00
Bally Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 02:00
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +5.12%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.077%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 02:00
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.53%E +0.361%K +0.472%G +0.007%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 02:00
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.53%E +0.361%K +0.472%G +0.007%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.15%E -5.86%K -32.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-26 02:00
Pinnacle🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 23.33%EV -1.09%E -0.264%K -0.348%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.67%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-26 02:00
Caesars🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.05%E -0.500%K -0.661%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 01:59
Bovada🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -3.24%E -0.801%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 01:48
LowVig.ag🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.72%E -0.923%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -3.72%E -0.923%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 01:39
GTbets🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 01:49
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 01:59
Bet Right🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -10.95%E -9.36%K -64.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-26 02:00
BetAnything🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -5.15%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 01:49
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.34%E -2.63%K -12.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 01:29
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 02:00
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.83%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.62%E -4.54%K -23.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-26 01:59
SportsBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.02%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 01:30
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.58%E -2.02%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-25 18:30
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.22%E -2.43%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-26 01:50
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.41%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.82%E -1.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-25 22:59
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -1.82%E -1.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 18:59
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.02%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 20:09
MyBookie.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.58%E -2.02%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 18:59
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 19:00
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.60%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.10%E -3.26%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.06%E -0.814%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 23:00
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -1.06%E -0.814%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.82%E -1.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 20:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.99%E -3.89%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-25 18:59
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.38%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-25 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-26 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-26 02:00
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-06-26 01:50
Polymarket4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-06-25 23:50
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-06-26 02:00
Novig4.08I 24.51%NM 24.02%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.98%2.0%2026-06-26 02:00