Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm v Minnesota Lynx

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 19:03 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 76–86 Minnesota Lynx

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 20.70%4.83fair odd
EV +3.52%
Edge +0.705%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%20.59%20.69%22.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.634.605.0024.69%21.59%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

Prediction 79.30%1.26fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -14.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.44%79.41%79.31%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.201.2287.72%83.57%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 20.70%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 79.30%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +3.52%E +0.705%K +0.881%G +0.031%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 18:14
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +3.52%E +0.705%K +0.881%G +0.031%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:34
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:34
Bally Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:34
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:34
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 18:35
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.618%E -0.129%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.65%E -0.348%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.65%E -0.348%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:19
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.65%E -0.348%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:19
DraftKings🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 20.30%EV -2.48%E -0.527%K -0.669%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.70%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:24
betano_uk🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 18:47
Bet Victor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 18:49
Fanatics🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-22 18:24
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.69%E -0.572%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 18:19
Pinnacle🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 20.71%EV -3.31%E -0.709%K -0.902%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.29%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-22 18:55
GTbets🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -3.72%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 18:59
Fliff🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -3.72%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-22 18:59
ReBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:39
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 18:53
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 16:39
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 15:50
Coolbet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -4.76%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -9.60%E -8.42%K -68.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 18:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -5.17%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -5.17%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-22 18:59
Betsson🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.79%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 18:49
NordicBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -5.79%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.64%E -4.74%K -29.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 18:49
BetAnything🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 19:00
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.05%E -3.35%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 18:59
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 00:35
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 18:34
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.83%E -1.52%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 15:19
BetUS🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -7.86%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 18:59
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.26%E -2.67%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-22 15:49
TAB🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.90%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.85%E -4.04%K -24.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 18:24
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -10.35%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.22%E -6.17%K -42.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -16.15%E -3.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -6.43%E -5.45%K -35.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%0.6%2026-07-22 19:00
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-07-22 19:00
Novig5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-22 18:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-22 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-07-22 18:54
Polymarket5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-07-22 00:10
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-07-22 02:25