Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm v Dallas Wings

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 02:16 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 91–103 Dallas Wings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +0.716%
Kelly +0.977%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%27.49%27.39%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.473.503.7431.75%28.81%28.57%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Wings (Visit)

Prediction 72.55%1.38fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -8.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%72.51%72.61%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3480.65%76.64%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 27.45%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 72.55%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV +2.68%E +0.716%K +0.977%G +0.026%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -8.59%E -6.82%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 02:05
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +1.58%E +0.426%K +0.584%G +0.009%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.42%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 02:14
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV +0.205%E +0.056%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 02:14
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -2.79%E -2.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-24 01:49
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -2.79%E -2.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-24 01:49
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 01:35
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.17%E -0.324%K -0.449%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 01:25
Pinnacle🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -3.09%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 02:10
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 02:00
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 02:00
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 01:45
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 01:55
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:40
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-24 01:50
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 01:44
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-24 01:44
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 01:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.24%E -3.21%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-24 01:35
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 01:50
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.29%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 01:44
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 01:54
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 01:55
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 02:10
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.42%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-24 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.42%E -4.97%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-24 02:00
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 02:15
Bally Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.66%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 02:15
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.51%E -2.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 01:35
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.96%E -3.79%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%EV -10.78%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.38%EV -10.04%E -8.10%K -41.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-24 02:15
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.69%E -4.38%K -18.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 01:34
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -13.52%E -4.29%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.14%E -5.58%K -25.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-24 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%0.6%2026-09-24 02:15
Polymarket◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-09-24 02:10
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-09-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%4.4%2026-09-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%4.4%2026-09-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%8.1%2026-09-24 02:15
ProphetX◎2.98I 33.56%NM 30.70%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%9.3%2026-09-24 02:15
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 28.64%1.18I 84.75%NM 71.36%18.8%2026-09-24 02:15