Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 21:05 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 80–82 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 44.10%2.27fair odd
EV -0.774%
Edge -0.344%
Kelly -0.619%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.08%44.11%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.152.152.2549.02%46.57%46.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 55.90%1.79fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.92%55.89%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.7560.61%58.47%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 44.10%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 55.90%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -0.774%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.774%E -0.344%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.774%E -0.344%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 20:55
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 20:48
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-16 20:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 20:59
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 20:39
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 21:00
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.98%E -1.35%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 19:19
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 20:54
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.86%E -1.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 20:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 20:34
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 20:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 20:44
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 20:34
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 20:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 20:34
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:19
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 19:19
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 20:59
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.18%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 21:00
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 21:00
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 20:59
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 20:59
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 20:49
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.62%E -2.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 20:55
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:59
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 20:59
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 20:54
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 20:29
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.09%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 20:34
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.51%E -3.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 21:00
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 20:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 20:44
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.85%E -2.24%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 13:14
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 20:54
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 13:13
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.65%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 20:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.72%EV -10.03%E -4.92%K -9.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.28%EV -7.77%E -4.71%K -11.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-16 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-16 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-16 20:55
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-08-16 21:00
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-08-16 21:00
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-08-16 21:00
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-08-16 20:55