Language:English
Portland Fire v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 36.70%2.73fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.596%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.36%36.77%36.74%40.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.572.602.7744.44%38.96%38.39%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 63.30%1.58fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.803%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.49%63.23%63.26%65.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.521.6069.44%65.74%66.01%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 36.70%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 63.30%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -12.66%E -5.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:57 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +1.28%E +0.803%K +2.14%G +0.027% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.615%E -0.391%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.88%E -1.21%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.88%E -1.21%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 22:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.88%E -1.21%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.88%E -1.21%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 22:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 22:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.32%E -2.06%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 22:37 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.15%E -2.06%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.78%E -2.49%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.39%E -0.897%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.12%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -17.43%E -7.75%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.918%E -0.340%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 22:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.22%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 22:38 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -1.65%E -0.616%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.58%E -5.19%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV +1.65%E +0.596%K +0.933%G +0.015% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.917%E +0.334%K +0.524%G +0.005% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.917%E +0.334%K +0.524%G +0.005% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.917%E +0.334%K +0.524%G +0.005% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -0.918%E -0.340%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 22:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -0.918%E -0.340%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 22:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 22:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 22:59 |