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Portland Fire v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 61.43%1.63fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.80%61.35%61.69%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.6167.57%64.39%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV -0.479%
Edge -0.186%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.65%38.31%40.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.462.482.5844.84%40.69%40.32%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 61.43%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 38.57%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -0.479%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.10%E -0.686%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -2.95%E -1.87%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.865%E -0.336%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.865%E -0.336%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.18%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.02%E -0.796%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.479%E -0.186%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.56%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -9.09%E -6.14%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -13.98%E -6.27%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 02:00 |