语言:简体中文
Portland Fire v Phoenix Mercury
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Portland Fire (主队)
预测 42.75%2.34公平赔率
EV +0.460%
优势 +0.196%
Kelly +0.341%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
40.81%42.66%42.80%44.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.072.222.202.3548.31%44.95%45.45%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Phoenix Mercury (客队)
预测 57.25%1.75公平赔率
EV -0.383%
优势 -0.220%
Kelly -0.517%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
55.27%57.34%57.20%59.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.671.671.7463.69%60.01%59.88%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Portland Fire (主队)：42.75%；Phoenix Mercury (客队)：57.25%。 对于“Portland Fire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.34。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.35，对应+0.460%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.460%E +0.196%K +0.341%G +0.002% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-18 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-18 01:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -2.11%E -0.919%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.96%E -2.99%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 00:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 01:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.10%E -2.30%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.10%E -2.30%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.96%E -2.99%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 01:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 20:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.12%E -6.44%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.96%E -2.99%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 01:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.24%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.24%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.383%E -0.220%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -11.51%E -5.56%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-09-18 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 01:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |