Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Portland Fire v Phoenix Mercury

Inizio: 2026-09-18 02:03 UTC

Finale: Portland Fire 91–94 Phoenix Mercury

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Portland Fire (Casa)

Previsione 42.75%2.34quota equa
EV +0.460%
Vantaggio +0.196%
Kelly +0.341%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.81%42.66%42.80%44.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.222.202.3548.31%44.95%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta)

Previsione 57.25%1.75quota equa
EV -0.383%
Vantaggio -0.220%
Kelly -0.517%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.27%57.34%57.20%59.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.671.671.7463.69%60.01%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Portland Fire (Casa): 42.75%; Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta): 57.25%. Per Portland Fire (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.34. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.35, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.460%.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.460%E +0.196%K +0.341%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 21:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-18 01:48
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-18 01:49
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 00:35
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 00:35
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 00:35
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.68%E -0.729%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-17 21:25
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -2.11%E -0.919%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.96%E -2.99%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 01:40
Caesars🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 00:30
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-18 02:00
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 01:39
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 00:35
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 01:40
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.82%E -1.70%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 01:50
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.82%E -2.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 00:35
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.10%E -2.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 02:00
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.10%E -2.30%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.96%E -2.99%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 01:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 02:00
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 01:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 20:04
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 00:30
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -5.95%E -2.71%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.12%E -6.44%K -17.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 02:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:50
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:50
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:48
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.96%E -2.99%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 01:59
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 01:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.81%E -3.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.54%E -3.35%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 01:39
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.24%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 01:50
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.24%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.67%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 01:50
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -8.09%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.383%E -0.220%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -11.51%E -5.56%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -7.25%E -4.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 01:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%0.2%2026-09-18 02:00
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%0.7%2026-09-18 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-09-18 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-09-18 02:00
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-09-18 01:55
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-18 00:20
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-09-18 02:00
ProphetX◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-09-18 02:00