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Portland Fire v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
assuming max odds 3.75
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.31
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 26.69%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 73.31%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.747. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.081%.
Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.081%E +0.022%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.16%E -4.81%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.96%E -3.02%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.43%E -4.21%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 22:58 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 23:00 |