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Portland Fire v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 50.49%1.98fair odd
EV +5.02%
Edge +2.42%
Kelly +4.65%
Growth +0.234%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.83%50.38%50.46%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.902.0855.56%51.86%52.63%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 49.51%2.02fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%49.62%49.54%54.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.881.912.0559.52%53.30%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 50.49%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 49.51%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV +5.02%E +2.42%K +4.65%G +0.234% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +4.52%E +2.18%K +4.22%G +0.191% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 19:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +4.52%E +2.18%K +4.22%G +0.191% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -12.87%E -7.31%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -0.529%E -0.269%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -16.83%E -10.02%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 19:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.54%E -0.789%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.54%E -0.789%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 19:23 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.12%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.57%E -2.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.70%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.68%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.46%E -1.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.46%E -1.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.46%E -1.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.97%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.08%E -3.27%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.46%E -1.77%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.95%E -2.58%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.95%E -2.58%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.41%E -4.55%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.41%E -4.55%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.11%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.49%E +0.727%K +1.42%G +0.021% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 19:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.11%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.44%E -2.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.00% | 18.3% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.00% | 18.3% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.00% | 18.3% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 37.55% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 62.45% | 58.5% | 2026-08-02 19:40 |
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