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Portland Fire v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 12.70%7.88fair odd
EV +17.44%
Edge +1.89%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.369%
assuming max odds 9.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.45%12.58%12.59%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.667.509.2516.67%13.05%13.33%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 87.30%1.15fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -18.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.51%87.42%87.41%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.091.091.1297.09%92.05%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 12.70%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 87.30%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.88. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +17.44%E +1.89%K +2.11%G +0.369% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-23 01:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +17.44%E +1.89%K +2.11%G +0.369% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-23 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +7.92%E +0.932%K +1.06%G +0.084% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.46%E -7.04%K -124.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +1.57%E +0.196%K +0.224%G +0.004% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-23 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.57%E +0.196%K +0.224%G +0.004% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 01:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +1.57%E +0.196%K +0.224%G +0.004% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 01:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.57%E +0.196%K +0.224%G +0.004% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +1.57%E +0.196%K +0.224%G +0.004% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -10.08%E -9.78%K -335.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -2.24%E -0.291%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-23 01:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -3.51%E -0.462%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-23 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 01:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 01:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 01:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 01:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.84%E -4.44%K -53.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 01:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 01:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 01:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.78%E -0.637%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 01:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV -7.32%E -1.00%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.95%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-23 01:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.95%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-23 01:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.54%EV -9.22%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.46%EV -2.22%E -1.98%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-23 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -9.47%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.09%E -2.79%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -9.47%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.09%E -2.79%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 01:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.13%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.09%E -2.79%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.13%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.09%E -2.79%K -28.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-23 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.13%E -1.59%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.71%E -5.29%K -71.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 01:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.93%EV -12.14%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.07%EV -2.22%E -1.98%K -18.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-23 02:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.47%E -2.69%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.47%E -2.69%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 01:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.72%EV -21.28%E -3.43%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.28%EV -6.59%E -6.15%K -94.07%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -23.82%E -3.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.97%E -3.61%K -39.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-23 01:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.71% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.29% | -0.4% | 2026-09-23 02:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-23 02:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-23 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 1.3% | 2026-09-23 02:01 |