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Phoenix Mercury v New York Liberty
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 46.71%2.14fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.76%46.75%47.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.032.052.1052.08%49.27%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.32%53.24%53.25%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.781.8159.88%56.37%56.18%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 46.71%; New York Liberty (Visit): 53.29%. For Phoenix Mercury (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -1.91%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.91%E -0.912%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.00%E -6.59%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-31 06:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.85%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 04:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 06:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 04:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 04:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 04:19 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 05:10 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 05:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 05:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 05:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.20%E -3.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 05:49 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 08:14 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.25%E -2.07%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.27%E -4.18%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 06:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 05:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 04:19 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.65%E -2.80%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-31 04:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.12%E -3.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.54%E -1.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-31 08:20 |
| ReBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -6.12%E -3.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 05:20 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 05:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 05:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 05:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.07%E -2.26%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 05:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.14%E -2.89%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-31 05:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.29%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 04:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.32%E -5.38%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-31 05:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-07-31 08:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-31 08:25 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 08:25 |