La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Mercury v Los Angeles Sparks

Inicio: 2026-05-22 02:00 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 88–97 Los Angeles Sparks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Predicción 55.94%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%55.99%55.87%57.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.691.691.7564.10%59.11%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Predicción 44.06%2.27momio equitativo
EV -0.858%
Ventaja -0.381%
Kelly -0.687%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.60%44.01%44.13%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.172.182.2548.31%46.01%45.87%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.11%E -1.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 01:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.67%E -1.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 01:50
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.67%E -1.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 01:50
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.67%E -1.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 01:49
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.23%E -1.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.94%E -1.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-22 01:50
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.23%E -1.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 01:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.23%E -1.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 01:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.23%E -1.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 01:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.23%E -1.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 01:19
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.79%E -2.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.94%E -1.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 01:50
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.79%E -2.20%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.94%E -1.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 01:49
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 23:09
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 01:49
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:20
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-22 00:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.94%E -1.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 01:19
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 01:30
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.35%E -2.54%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 01:38
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 01:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 00:29
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.91%E -2.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 00:30
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.47%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 21:39
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.47%E -3.23%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.94%E -1.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 01:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 01:50
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:10
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.26%E -2.45%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 00:59
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.59%E -3.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 00:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.03%E -3.59%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.59%E -3.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 01:00
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.858%E -0.381%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:40
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.74%E -0.780%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 01:39
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:49
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.06%E -1.39%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 19:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-22 01:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.59%E -3.94%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-22 00:09
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.38%E -5.79%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -7.47%E -3.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 01:50
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.02%EV -12.74%E -8.17%K -22.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -8.79%E -4.25%K -8.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-22 01:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-22 01:50
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-05-22 01:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-22 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-05-22 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-05-22 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-05-22 01:50
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-05-22 01:50