The School of OddsLanguage:English
Phoenix Mercury v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 47.24%2.12fair odd
EV -0.800%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.30%47.37%49.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.11%50.00%47.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 52.76%1.90fair odd
EV -0.808%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.41%52.70%52.63%54.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.801.8857.80%55.08%55.56%53.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.800%E -0.381%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.61%E -3.74%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.800%E -0.381%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.61%E -3.74%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.800%E -0.381%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.61%E -3.74%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-10 01:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -1.74%E -0.839%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.56%E -3.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 02:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-10 02:03 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 01:54 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 01:49 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 01:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.63%E -1.78%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-10 01:54 |
| ReBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.50%E -2.49%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.45%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:19 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:30 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.61%E -3.74%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.61%E -3.74%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.52%E -2.76%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-10 01:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.00%E -3.01%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.45%E -1.88%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 01:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 01:59 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-10 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.41%E -3.78%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.92%E -1.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-10 01:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.41%E -3.78%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-10 01:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.89%E -4.04%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.67%E -4.38%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.83%E -4.58%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.30%E -4.85%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -9.30%E -4.85%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -0.808%E -0.430%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-09 23:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -13.55%E -7.41%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -5.03%E -2.79%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-09 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 3.5% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88% | 10.0% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.89% | 10.6% | 2026-07-10 02:05 |