Phoenix Mercury v Indiana Fever

2026-07-10 02:10 — WNBA

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Option 1: Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Odds

2.6038.46%Min

2.7935.82%Mean

2.8035.71%Median

2.9034.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

33.33%3.000Min

35.32%2.831Max

33.74%2.964Mean

33.61%2.975Median

33.69%2.969IQM

33.70%2.967Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 33.69%

EV -2.31%Edge -0.797%Kelly -1.22%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Indiana Fever (Visit)

Odds

1.4270.42%Min

1.4369.78%Mean

1.4469.44%Median

1.4568.97%Max

Consensus probabilities

64.68%1.546Min

66.67%1.500Max

66.26%1.509Mean

66.39%1.506Median

66.31%1.508IQM

66.30%1.508Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.45 under the IQM model: 66.31%

EV -3.84%Edge -2.65%Kelly -8.54%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Phoenix Mercury (Local) ▼	Indiana Fever (Visit)	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet	2.90I 34.48% NM 33.33%EV -2.31% E -0.797% K -1.22% G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97% NM 66.67%EV -3.84% E -2.65% K -8.54% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-07 04:20
DraftKings	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.57%EV -3.99% E -1.40% K -2.16% G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44% NM 66.43%EV -4.51% E -3.13% K -10.25% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-07 04:20
Fanatics	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.57%EV -3.99% E -1.40% K -2.16% G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44% NM 66.43%EV -4.51% E -3.13% K -10.25% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-07 04:20
Betr (AU)	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.41%EV -3.99% E -1.40% K -2.16% G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93% NM 66.59%EV -5.17% E -3.62% K -12.03% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-07 04:30
Bet Right	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.41%EV -3.99% E -1.40% K -2.16% G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93% NM 66.59%EV -5.17% E -3.62% K -12.03% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-07 04:30
Unibet (UK)	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -5.68% E -2.03% K -3.15% G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -4.51% E -3.13% K -10.25% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-07 04:20
NordicBet	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -5.68% E -2.03% K -3.15% G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -5.83% E -4.11% K -13.89% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-07 04:20
Betsson	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -5.68% E -2.03% K -3.15% G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -5.83% E -4.11% K -13.89% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-07 04:20
888sport	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -7.36% E -2.68% K -4.21% G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.51% E -3.13% K -10.25% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-07 04:20
Mr Green (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -7.36% E -2.68% K -4.21% G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.51% E -3.13% K -10.25% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-07 04:20
888sport (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -7.36% E -2.68% K -4.21% G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.51% E -3.13% K -10.25% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-07 04:20
ReBet	2.74I 36.50% NM 34.13%EV -7.70% E -2.81% K -4.43% G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42% NM 65.87%EV -5.83% E -4.11% K -13.89% G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-07 04:20
LeoVegas	2.60I 38.46% NM 35.32%EV -12.42% E -4.78% K -7.76% G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42% NM 64.68%EV -5.83% E -4.11% K -13.89% G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-07 04:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Phoenix Mercury (Local)	Indiana Fever (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.78I 35.97% NM 35.35%	1.52I 65.79% NM 64.65%	1.8%	2026-07-07 04:25