Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty v Minnesota Lynx

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 00:38 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 87–71 Minnesota Lynx

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty (Local)

Prediction 39.68%2.52fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.764%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%39.55%39.70%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.5544.44%41.37%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

Prediction 60.32%1.66fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.45%60.30%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.561.571.6268.97%63.96%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 39.68%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 60.32%. For New York Liberty (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.92%E -5.91%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 00:30
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +1.18%E +0.464%K +0.764%G +0.009%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.92%E -5.91%K -17.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 00:30
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -1.59%E -0.643%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.99%E -0.806%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-30 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.99%E -0.806%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-30 00:34
BetAnything🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -1.99%E -0.806%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-30 00:29
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-29 22:35
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-30 00:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 23:58
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-30 00:30
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 00:20
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.78%E -1.14%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 00:33
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -3.58%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -12.54%E -8.65%K -27.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 00:35
Caesars🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.97%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 00:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.88%E -1.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-30 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 00:19
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 00:35
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 00:35
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 23:40
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 23:40
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -5.96%E -2.51%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-30 00:19
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 21:14
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 00:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 00:30
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 00:30
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.15%E -3.06%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.49%E -2.18%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 23:10
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.15%E -3.06%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 00:35
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.94%E -3.42%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-29 23:10
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-29 21:34
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 00:19
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-30 00:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.28%E -1.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-29 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-29 18:50
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.72%E -4.76%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-30 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-30 00:20
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-30 00:35
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%1.5%2026-09-30 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-09-30 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-09-30 00:35
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-09-30 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.0%2026-09-30 00:35
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.4%2026-09-30 00:35