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New York Liberty v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 58.17%1.72fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.08%58.14%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.641.651.7062.50%60.86%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 41.83%2.39fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%41.92%41.86%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.262.252.3547.17%44.18%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 58.17%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 41.83%. For New York Liberty (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.11%E -0.653%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.72%E -3.01%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.86%E -1.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-27 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-27 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.54%E -1.09%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-27 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 23:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 23:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -4.21%E -1.84%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.47%E -2.42%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 23:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.02%E -2.44%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.60%E -2.81%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 22:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.63%E -2.03%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.18%E -3.18%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.70%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 12:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.76%E -3.56%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.35%E -3.94%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.79%E -1.65%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 23:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -6.93%E -4.33%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-27 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-08-28 00:01 |