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New York Liberty v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 36.66%2.73fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%36.69%36.67%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.572.552.6541.15%38.88%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 63.34%1.58fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%63.31%63.33%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.44%66.23%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 36.66%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 63.34%. For Atlanta Dream (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -1.82%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 00:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-23 23:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-23 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.99%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-23 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.99%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-23 23:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.99%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-23 23:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.86%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -3.22%E -1.22%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.62%E -3.77%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-23 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.89%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.79%E -6.10%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-23 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.45%E -1.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-23 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.72%E -2.45%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-23 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.99%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-23 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-23 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.69%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.79%E -6.10%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-24 00:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.42%E -2.10%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-23 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -5.79%E -2.25%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.72%E -2.45%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-23 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.52%E -2.56%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.99%E -3.32%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.82%E -1.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.82%E -1.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.09%E -2.02%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.72%E -2.45%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-23 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.36%E -3.34%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.89%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.19%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.89%E -4.68%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-24 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.21%EV -10.92%E -4.49%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.79%EV -8.79%E -6.10%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-24 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-09-23 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 1.3% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 1.3% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 1.3% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95% | 2.6% | 2026-09-24 00:05 |