Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v Washington Mystics

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 22:02 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 79–84 Washington Mystics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 86.93%1.15fair odd
EV -0.895%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -6.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%86.97%87.06%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1493.46%90.65%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 13.07%7.65fair odd
EV +20.86%
Edge +2.26%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.528%

assuming max odds 9.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.45%13.03%12.94%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.947.009.2518.87%14.42%14.29%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 86.93%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 13.07%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.65. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.55%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.39%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.45%EV +20.86%E +2.26%K +2.53%G +0.528%3.4%2026-06-21 21:58
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.98%E -6.52%K -99.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +11.06%E +1.30%K +1.47%G +0.163%5.2%2026-06-21 22:00
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.98%E -6.52%K -99.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +4.53%E +0.566%K +0.647%G +0.029%6.0%2026-06-21 22:00
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.30%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%7.63I 13.11%NM 12.70%EV -0.306%E -0.040%K -0.046%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 21:59
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-21 21:59
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 22:00
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 21:59
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 22:00
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.00%E -0.267%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 21:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.70%E -0.502%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.91%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.09%EV -3.70%E -0.502%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 21:59
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -5.92%E -0.823%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.23%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.23%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 21:58
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -7.23%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 21:59
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.54%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 21:59
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -8.54%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.54%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.54%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 22:00
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.54%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.50%E -3.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -11.80%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -13.76%E -2.09%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 21:59
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.07%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 21:59
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.07%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -15.07%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 22:00
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -16.38%E -2.56%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 21:59
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.34%E -2.93%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.60%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.63%E -2.35%K -21.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.60%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.37%E -3.98%K -43.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.60%E -3.60%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -0.895%E -0.785%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -28.14%E -5.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 21:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -6.98%E -6.52%K -99.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -30.75%E -5.80%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-21 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-21 22:00
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-06-21 22:00
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-06-21 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-06-21 22:00
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.4%2026-06-21 22:00
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-06-21 22:00
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-06-21 22:00