A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Lynx v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-06-16 00:02 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 107–74 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 88.60%1.13odd justa
EV -2.54%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -25.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.73%88.79%88.48%91.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.55%92.59%90.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 11.40%8.77odd justa
EV +36.77%
Vantagem +3.06%
Kelly +3.34%
Crescimento +1.23%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.05%11.21%11.52%14.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.258.047.9012.0016.00%12.44%12.66%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -6.97%E -6.64%K -139.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +36.77%E +3.06%K +3.34%G +1.23%3.6%2026-06-15 23:58
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +25.38%E +2.31%K +2.54%G +0.644%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +25.38%E +2.31%K +2.54%G +0.644%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +13.98%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +13.98%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.2%2026-06-15 23:59
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +8.28%E +0.872%K +0.974%G +0.081%6.7%2026-06-15 23:59
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 88.92%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.08%EV -0.269%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 00:00
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.66%E -0.312%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.66%E -0.312%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 23:59
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 00:00
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Neds1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.97%E -0.723%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.97%E -0.723%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 00:00
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.11%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.89%EV -7.11%E -0.872%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 23:59
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -7.68%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 00:00
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Caesars1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 23:57
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -9.96%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:58
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -9.96%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:59
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 00:00
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:59
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 23:58
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 23:59
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -25.91%E -3.99%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 00:00
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 85.73%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.27%EV -28.76%E -4.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.86%8.93I 11.20%NM 11.14%0.5%2026-06-15 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-16 00:00
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-06-16 00:00
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-06-16 00:00