L’École des cotes

Minnesota Lynx v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 00:02 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Lynx 107–74 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prévision 88.60%1.13cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -25.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.73%88.79%88.48%91.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.55%92.59%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.40%8.77cote équitable
EV +36.77%
Avantage +3.06%
Kelly +3.34%
Croissance +1.23%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.05%11.21%11.52%14.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.258.047.9012.0016.00%12.44%12.66%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -6.97%E -6.64%K -139.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +36.77%E +3.06%K +3.34%G +1.23%3.6%2026-06-15 23:58
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +25.38%E +2.31%K +2.54%G +0.644%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +25.38%E +2.31%K +2.54%G +0.644%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.08%E -5.74%K -101.36%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +13.98%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +13.98%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.2%2026-06-15 23:59
Betway1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +8.28%E +0.872%K +0.974%G +0.081%6.7%2026-06-15 23:59
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 88.92%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.08%EV -0.269%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 00:00
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.66%E -0.312%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -2.66%E -0.312%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 00:00
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 23:59
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 00:00
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.12%E -0.367%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Neds1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.97%E -0.723%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.97%E -0.723%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 00:00
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.11%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.89%EV -7.11%E -0.872%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 23:59
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -7.68%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 00:00
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Caesars1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 23:57
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.82%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -9.96%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:58
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.97%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.03%EV -9.96%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 23:59
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 00:00
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:59
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 23:58
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.20%E -4.86%K -74.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -14.52%E -1.94%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 23:59
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 00:00
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.54%E -2.31%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 23:59
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.42%E -3.14%K -38.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.22%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 23:59
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.31%E -3.99%K -53.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -25.91%E -3.99%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 00:00
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 85.73%EV -7.85%E -7.55%K -196.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.27%EV -28.76%E -4.60%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-16 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-06-16 00:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.86%8.93I 11.20%NM 11.14%0.5%2026-06-15 23:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%0.6%2026-06-16 00:00
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-06-16 00:00
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-06-16 00:00