Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.40
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 70.39%; New York Liberty (Visit): 29.61%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.79%E -5.94%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +6.59%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.167% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +6.59%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.167% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +5.11%E +1.44%K +2.00%G +0.102% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -9.20%E -7.13%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +3.63%E +1.04%K +1.45%G +0.053% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.20%E -7.13%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.670%E +0.197%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 17:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.60%E -8.35%K -39.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -10.60%E -8.35%K -39.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -2.29%E -0.694%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 17:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -2.88%E -0.879%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.77%E -1.16%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 17:57 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.25%E -1.64%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.97%E -3.68%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.97%E -3.68%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.68%E -4.24%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.49%E -6.53%K -28.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.90%E -7.73%K -35.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -6.73%E -2.14%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.16%E -1.55%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.86%E -2.07%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.21%E -2.65%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.30%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.70%EV -9.10%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.45%E -1.04%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.69%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.45%E -1.04%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.69%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.45%E -1.04%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.69%E -3.18%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -4.27%E -3.14%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -14.73%E -5.11%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 17:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 0.2% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54% | 1.4% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 18:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-09-27 18:01 |