Language:English
Minnesota Lynx v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Prediction 65.06%1.54fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -4.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.11%65.06%66.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5070.42%68.18%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 34.94%2.86fair odd
EV -0.435%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.235%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.72%34.89%34.94%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.97%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 65.06%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 34.94%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -0.435%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.40%E -1.60%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 12:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 16:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.05%E -2.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.70%E -2.50%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.435%E -0.153%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 16:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -0.435%E -0.153%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.13%E -0.401%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -1.13%E -0.401%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -2.18%E -0.779%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.88%E -1.04%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.35%E -2.96%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.01%E -3.43%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 16:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.01%E -3.43%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.01%E -3.43%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -0.435%E -0.153%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.18%E -0.779%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.98%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.02%EV -6.02%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.66%E -3.90%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.42%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.31%E -4.38%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.31%E -4.38%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.31%E -4.38%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.31%E -4.38%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.31%E -4.38%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 16:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.96%E -4.87%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.61%E -5.36%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.61%E -5.36%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02% | 1.3% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 1.5% | 2026-08-02 17:00 |
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