Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v Indiana Fever

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 00:09 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 86–66 Indiana Fever

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 37.26%2.68fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%37.30%37.29%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.6540.82%39.10%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 62.74%1.59fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%62.70%62.71%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.521.5569.93%66.01%65.79%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 37.26%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 62.74%. For Minnesota Lynx (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.27%E -0.478%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-24 23:50
betano_uk🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.27%E -0.478%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-24 23:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.76%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.76%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 23:20
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 23:56
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 23:20
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 23:20
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 00:04
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:20
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 14:19
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.13%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.14%E -4.83%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 00:04
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.25%E -1.65%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.38%E -2.19%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 00:00
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-25 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-24 23:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 23:05
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 23:05
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 00:04
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.14%E -4.83%K -14.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-25 00:04
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.11%E -2.42%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 23:45
SportsBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -6.48%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -5.26%E -3.48%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 23:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.75%E -1.77%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 00:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.01%E -2.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 21:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 00:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.89%E -3.92%K -11.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 16:34
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.60%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 23:55
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.60%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.63%E -3.05%K -8.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-24 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%EV -7.60%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%EV -10.28%E -7.19%K -23.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-24 14:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.29%K -16.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.72%E -3.56%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.77%E -5.29%K -16.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-25 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-25 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-09-25 00:05
Polymarket◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-09-25 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%1.3%2026-09-25 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-09-25 00:05
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34%1.6%2026-09-25 00:05
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-09-25 00:05
ProphetX◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16%2.8%2026-09-25 00:05