Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks v Washington Mystics

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 02:06 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 88–82 Washington Mystics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 35.03%2.86fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.09%34.95%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.8038.46%36.75%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 64.97%1.54fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -5.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.91%65.05%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.471.5072.46%68.42%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 35.03%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 64.97%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.93%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 01:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 02:00
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 01:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 01:49
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 16:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.93%E -0.689%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 16:30
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -2.63%E -0.946%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 00:49
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 01:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 01:45
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 21:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 01:15
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 01:59
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 02:00
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.09%E -4.96%K -16.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 02:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.68%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 01:55
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.03%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 02:00
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -4.73%E -1.74%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.08%E -1.87%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 22:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.19%E -2.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.43%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 02:00
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.13%E -2.29%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -6.48%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -5.14%E -3.52%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 02:05
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.54%E -1.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 02:05
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.54%E -1.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 00:30
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.14%E -3.52%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 22:55
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.14%E -3.52%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -7.18%E -2.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -10.34%E -7.49%K -27.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 14:21
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.88%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.49%E -3.05%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.23%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 02:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.23%E -3.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.44%E -4.47%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 01:54
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.93%E -3.44%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.54%E -1.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.93%E -3.44%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.54%E -1.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.93%E -3.44%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.54%E -1.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 21:50
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.93%E -3.44%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.54%E -1.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.93%E -3.44%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.54%E -1.69%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 00:30
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.93%E -3.44%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.84%E -2.59%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 21:50
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.93%E -3.44%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.74%E -5.45%K -18.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-29 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-29 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-29 02:05
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-08-29 02:05
ProphetX2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%1.5%2026-08-29 02:05
Polymarket2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-08-29 02:05
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-08-29 02:05
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-08-29 02:05