Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.32
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 73.67%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 26.33%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.38%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV +1.38%E +0.357%K +0.483%G +0.007% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.059%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.70%E -4.46%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.059%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.70%E -4.46%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.059%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-16 01:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.26%E -0.335%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.70%E -4.46%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.26%E -0.335%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.18%E -5.70%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -1.52%E -0.407%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.57%E -0.696%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.57%E -0.696%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.49%E -2.67%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -3.49%E -2.67%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -4.42%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.49%E -2.67%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 04:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 05:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 05:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.21%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 05:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.25%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.70%E -4.46%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.70%E -4.46%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.44%E -5.07%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.91%E -6.33%K -31.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.49%E -2.67%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -9.16%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.76%E -2.09%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.44%E -5.07%K -23.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -10.12%E -8.30%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.42%E -4.44%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 01:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.52% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.48% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |