Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks v Toronto Tempo

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 23:02 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 96–106 Toronto Tempo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 73.71%1.36fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -5.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%73.73%73.47%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.301.301.3381.97%77.20%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Tempo (Visit)

Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +0.646%
Kelly +0.869%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.27%26.53%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.603.9030.77%28.03%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 73.71%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 26.29%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +2.52%E +0.646%K +0.869%G +0.022%2.6%2026-05-17 22:59
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.65%E -4.41%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.109%E -0.029%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.65%E -4.41%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -1.42%E -0.380%K -0.518%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.86%E -6.29%K -31.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.42%E -0.380%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.74%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 22:59
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.12%E -5.65%K -27.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.74%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 23:00
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:00
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.91%E -3.81%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.05%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 22:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -4.91%E -3.81%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -5.10%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.44%E -2.62%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.44%E -2.62%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 23:00
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.44%E -2.62%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 22:56
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 22:58
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:01
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:00
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.91%E -3.81%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.91%E -3.81%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.91%E -3.81%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 22:59
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.65%E -4.41%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.86%E -6.29%K -31.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.37%E -1.49%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 23:00
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.95%EV -2.70%E -2.04%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.05%EV -6.42%E -1.80%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.68%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.44%E -2.62%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.00%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.00%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.91%E -3.81%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.00%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 22:58
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.65%E -4.41%K -20.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.00%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 22:59
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.86%E -6.29%K -31.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.00%E -2.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -1.96%E -1.48%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.41%EV -1.96%E -1.48%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:01
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.44%E -2.62%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -9.31%E -2.70%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.70%E -2.04%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 23:00
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.17%E -3.21%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.62%E -3.12%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.96%E -1.48%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -1.96%E -1.48%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -11.94%E -3.56%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.91%E -3.81%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.57%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.71%EV -10.07%E -8.25%K -45.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -14.57%E -4.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-17 23:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-17 23:00
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-17 23:01
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-17 23:01
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-05-17 23:01
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%5.0%2026-05-17 23:01