A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-06-07 23:03 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 89–72 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 71.67%1.40odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.85%
Kelly -7.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.28%71.67%71.64%73.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.271.341.341.3678.74%74.80%74.63%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 28.33%3.53odd justa
EV +1.97%
Vantagem +0.548%
Kelly +0.758%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.83%28.33%28.36%30.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.303.303.6033.90%30.32%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +1.97%E +0.548%K +0.758%G +0.015%3.5%2026-06-07 22:58
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-07 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-07 22:59
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 22:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 22:59
ReBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.13%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-07 23:00
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 22:59
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 22:59
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 22:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 22:59
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 22:59
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 22:59
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 22:59
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 22:59
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-07 22:58
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-07 22:59
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 22:59
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-07 22:59
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 22:58
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -7.38%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 22:59
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 22:59
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 22:59
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 22:59
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 22:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 22:59
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 22:59
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 22:59
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 22:59
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 22:59
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 23:00
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 22:52
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 22:59
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 22:59
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -15.02%E -5.01%K -7.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-07 22:59
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.91%EV -8.97%E -7.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -16.44%E -5.57%K -8.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-07 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-07 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-07 23:00
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51%0.7%2026-06-07 22:59
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-06-07 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-06-07 22:59
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-06-07 22:59
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.1%2026-06-07 22:59