La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Los Angeles Sparks v Portland Fire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 71.67%1.40momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -7.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%71.67%71.64%73.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.341.341.3678.74%74.80%74.63%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Portland Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.97%
Ventaja +0.548%
Kelly +0.758%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.83%28.33%28.36%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.303.303.6033.90%30.32%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV +1.97%E +0.548%K +0.758%G +0.015% | 3.5% | 2026-06-07 22:58 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.861%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.13%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-07 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -5.68%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-07 22:58 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.53%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Caesars | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -7.09%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-07 22:58 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -7.38%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Fliff | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-07 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-07 22:52 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.52%E -1.85%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.78%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -15.02%E -5.01%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.91%EV -8.97%E -7.07%K -33.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -16.44%E -5.57%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-07 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51% | 0.7% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-06-07 22:59 |