Language:English
Los Angeles Sparks v Portland Fire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 53.59%1.87fair odd
EV -0.850%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.999%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.71%53.73%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.801.8559.88%56.18%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Fire (Visit)
Prediction 46.41%2.15fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.199%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.29%46.27%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.022.1551.81%48.90%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 53.59%; Portland Fire (Visit): 46.41%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.155. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.150, with an expected value of -0.229%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -0.850%E -0.459%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-20 22:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -0.850%E -0.459%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-20 22:47 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.92%E -1.05%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -2.99%E -1.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 22:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -2.99%E -1.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.73%E -3.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 22:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 22:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 22:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.19%E -3.59%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.09%E -0.988%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.16%E -0.543%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.229%E -0.106%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.229%E -0.106%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 22:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.229%E -0.106%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 22:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.229%E -0.106%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.41%E -2.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.82%E -4.54%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.54%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 22:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.54%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -8.35%E -4.88%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -10.44%E -5.41%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.50%E -6.29%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 22:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 22:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 22:54 |