默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Sparks v Phoenix Mercury

开赛时间: 2026-08-12 02:03 UTC

最终结果: Los Angeles Sparks 87–94 Phoenix Mercury

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Los Angeles Sparks (主队)

预测 53.39%1.87公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.660%
Kelly -1.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
52.22%53.41%53.40%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.771.771.8559.88%56.62%56.66%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客队)

预测 46.61%2.15公平赔率
EV -2.13%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.30%46.59%46.60%47.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.062.052.1050.00%48.49%48.66%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Los Angeles Sparks (主队):53.39%;Phoenix Mercury (客队):46.61%。 对于“Los Angeles Sparks (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.87。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.85,期望值为-1.22%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.22%E -0.660%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 01:55
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.22%E -0.660%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 01:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 01:55
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:59
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:57
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:15
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:59
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 00:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:59
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 16:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 01:35
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:39
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 02:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.03%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.39%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 01:39
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:33
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 12:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 18:49
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-12 01:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-12 01:50
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-12 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-12 02:00
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-12 01:35
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-11 23:55
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-12 01:50