Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Sparks v Phoenix Mercury

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 02:03 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Sparks 87–94 Phoenix Mercury

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prévision 53.39%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.660%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%53.41%53.40%55.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8559.88%56.62%56.66%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.61%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.59%46.60%47.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.062.052.1050.00%48.49%48.66%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Los Angeles Sparks (Local) : 53.39% ; Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur) : 46.61%. Pour Los Angeles Sparks (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.85, pour une espérance de -1.22% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.22%E -0.660%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 01:55
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.22%E -0.660%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 01:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 01:55
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:59
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:57
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:15
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:59
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 00:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:59
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:34
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 16:19
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 01:35
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:39
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 02:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.03%E -3.42%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.39%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 01:39
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:33
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -7.10%E -4.08%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 01:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 12:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.63%E -4.41%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 18:49
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.16%E -4.75%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.83%E -6.49%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-12 01:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-08-12 01:50
ProphetX◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-08-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-12 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-08-12 02:00
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-12 01:35
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-11 23:55
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-12 01:50