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Los Angeles Sparks v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.517%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.54%28.92%29.04%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.273.253.5033.90%30.59%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 71.06%1.41fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -9.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%71.08%70.96%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.351.3678.74%74.57%74.07%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 28.94%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 71.06%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +1.29%E +0.369%K +0.517%G +0.007% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 01:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV +0.135%E +0.039%K +0.055%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.154%E -0.045%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.78%E -3.57%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-03 01:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.60%E -0.471%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.78%E -3.57%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.60%E -0.471%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.60%E -0.471%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.62%E -5.86%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.36%E -2.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.36%E -2.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.36%E -2.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.36%E -2.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.36%E -2.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-02 23:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-02 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-02 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -5.07%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -4.78%E -3.57%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.65%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.78%E -3.57%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-02 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 01:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-02 23:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -6.81%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.36%E -2.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-02 23:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.36%E -2.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.78%E -3.57%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-02 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.20%E -4.70%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-03 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.20%E -4.70%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-03 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -7.97%E -2.51%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -4.78%E -3.57%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.07%E -3.01%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.49%E -4.13%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-02 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -14.62%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.91%EV -9.75%E -7.68%K -36.13%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-03 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-03 01:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-03 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 1.4% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98% | 1.4% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 1.9% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-06-03 02:00 |