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Los Angeles Sparks v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 18.59%5.38fair odd
EV +11.51%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.30%
Growth +0.265%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.20%18.27%18.89%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.155.096.0022.22%19.41%19.63%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 81.41%1.23fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -16.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.37%81.73%81.11%83.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.171.171.1990.09%85.74%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 18.59%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 81.41%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +11.51%E +1.92%K +2.30%G +0.265% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-25 01:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV +11.51%E +1.92%K +2.30%G +0.265% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +7.80%E +1.34%K +1.62%G +0.127% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +6.87%E +1.19%K +1.45%G +0.099% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -8.00%E -7.08%K -61.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +2.22%E +0.404%K +0.493%G +0.011% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +2.22%E +0.404%K +0.493%G +0.011% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.37%E -5.54%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.22%E +0.404%K +0.493%G +0.011% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.19%E -6.30%K -51.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.22%E +0.404%K +0.493%G +0.011% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.19%E -6.30%K -51.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -1.50%E -0.282%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.36%E -0.645%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -3.36%E -0.645%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-24 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -4.28%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 15:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -4.28%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -4.28%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-24 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.21%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-24 16:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.21%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -5.40%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.12%E -2.62%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 01:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 01:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-24 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.56%E -4.79%K -34.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.07%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -9.63%E -8.68%K -87.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -8.00%E -1.62%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.12%E -2.62%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -8.93%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.12%E -2.62%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-25 01:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.93%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -8.93%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.93%E -3.33%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-25 01:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -8.93%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -8.93%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -8.93%E -1.82%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-24 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.79%E -2.25%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -12.65%E -2.69%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.12%E -2.62%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 22:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -14.51%E -3.15%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -7.19%E -6.30%K -51.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -16.37%E -3.64%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.75%E -4.06%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-25 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-24 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-24 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 1.3% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.92% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.08% | 2.4% | 2026-09-25 02:00 |