Language:English
Las Vegas Aces v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 91.39%1.09fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -52.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.29%91.42%91.71%93.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.05%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 8.61%11.61fair odd
EV +20.57%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.325%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.79%8.58%8.29%10.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.0311.2514.0011.76%9.07%8.89%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 91.39%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 8.61%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.61. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +20.57%E +1.47%K +1.58%G +0.325% | 3.3% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +20.57%E +1.47%K +1.58%G +0.325% | 3.3% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.78%E -6.65%K -339.22%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +20.57%E +1.47%K +1.58%G +0.325% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +11.96%E +0.920%K +0.996%G +0.119% | 3.8% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +7.65%E +0.612%K +0.665%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +7.65%E +0.612%K +0.665%G +0.051% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 21:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.26%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 12.40I 8.06%NM 7.74%EV +6.79%E +0.548%K +0.596%G +0.040% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.21%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV +5.07%E +0.415%K +0.453%G +0.023% | 5.3% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.35%E +0.279%K +0.304%G +0.010% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +3.35%E +0.279%K +0.304%G +0.010% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 00:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +3.35%E +0.279%K +0.304%G +0.010% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 21:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +3.35%E +0.279%K +0.304%G +0.010% | 5.4% | 2026-09-21 01:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.57%EV -3.13%E -2.95%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 11.52I 8.68%NM 8.43%EV -0.788%E -0.068%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 01:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 01:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 01:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.78%E -6.65%K -339.22%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.78%E -6.65%K -339.22%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.70%E -7.62%K -769.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -0.960%E -0.084%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.27%E -0.479%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 01:12 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -3.13%E -2.95%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV -7.42%E -0.690%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.13%E -2.95%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.57%E -0.912%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.13%E -2.95%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.57%E -0.912%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-21 00:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -11.73%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.13%E -2.95%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -13.02%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 00:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.13%E -2.95%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -13.02%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 00:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.13%E -2.95%K -52.15%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -13.02%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-21 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 00:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-21 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -13.88%E -1.39%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.96%E -4.77%K -123.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -18.18%E -1.91%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -18.18%E -1.91%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-21 01:13 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.87%E -5.70%K -195.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -18.18%E -1.91%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-21 01:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.49%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.04%E -3.85%K -80.85%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -22.49%E -2.50%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -6.78%E -6.65%K -339.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -26.80%E -3.15%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-21 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19% | 1.8% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 2.2% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05% | 3.6% | 2026-09-21 01:14 |