La scuola delle quote

Las Vegas Aces v Phoenix Mercury

Inizio: 2026-05-09 19:52 UTC

Finale: Las Vegas Aces 66–99 Phoenix Mercury

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Casa)

Previsione 78.88%1.27quota equa
EV +0.180%
Vantaggio +0.142%
Kelly +0.666%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.90%78.72%78.95%80.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.201.201.2788.50%83.13%83.33%78.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.12%4.74quota equa
EV +3.48%
Vantaggio +0.710%
Kelly +0.892%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.73%21.28%21.05%24.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.524.504.9025.00%22.11%22.22%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%EV +3.48%E +0.710%K +0.892%G +0.031%2.4%2026-05-09 19:43
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%4.9%2026-05-09 19:44
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.92%E -5.86%K -38.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.37%E +0.285%K +0.360%G +0.005%5.6%2026-05-09 19:44
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.92%E -5.86%K -38.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -0.744%E -0.158%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 19:44
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.55%E -3.76%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.86%E -0.621%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:40
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.34%E -4.45%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.86%E -0.621%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.34%E -4.45%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.86%E -0.621%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 19:44
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.13%E -5.15%K -32.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.86%E -0.621%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 19:44
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.34%E -4.45%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -3.91%E -0.860%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:44
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 19:44
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.34%E -4.45%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 19:45
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.34%E -4.45%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 19:45
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.71%E -6.59%K -45.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 19:44
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -8.50%E -7.33%K -53.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 19:44
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.02%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 19:49
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.98%E -2.42%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 19:45
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.98%E -2.42%K -12.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 19:45
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:39
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.08%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 19:39
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.14%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:43
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 19:39
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 19:39
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.92%E -5.86%K -38.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -9.19%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 19:45
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.00%EV -10.86%E -9.61%K -83.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -10.25%E -2.41%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 19:45
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.76%E -3.09%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.30%E -2.69%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 19:31
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.19%E -1.76%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 19:44
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.34%E -4.45%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.42%E -3.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 19:30
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV +0.180%E +0.142%K +0.666%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -15.53%E -3.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 19:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 80.48%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.52%1.8%2026-05-09 19:49
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%4.4%2026-05-09 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 47.87%1.01I 99.01%NM 52.13%89.9%2026-05-09 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 47.87%1.01I 99.01%NM 52.13%89.9%2026-05-09 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 47.87%1.01I 99.01%NM 52.13%89.9%2026-05-09 19:49